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Ohtani Off the Mound
The Angels shutdown Shohei Ohtani with a strain near his repaired elbow. He won’t pitch, but he will hit. That what the Angels should have done with him after the Tommy John surgery.
Posted by David Pinto at 8:25 pm | 坚果加速器vip破解, Pitchers | 坚果nuts加速器官网 | 坚果加速器安卓下载
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Fish Story
Derek Jeter talks about the Marlins breaking the virus protocol:
A couple players left their hotel to get coffee and clothes, Jeter said Monday. Another had dinner at an old teammate’s house. They congregated in rooms, sometimes not wearing masks and sometimes not properly following social distancing protocols.
Small infractions, nothing to the scale of what some reports had suggested the team did (“There was no salacious activity,” Jeter said).
MiamiHerald.com
The Marlins will likely by rained out tomorrow due to the tropical storm moving up the east coast, and will have spend a total of 23 days on the road before they return to Miami.
Posted by David Pinto at 6:31 pm | Illnesses | Permalink | 坚果加速器vip破解
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Good News on Votto
It appears 坚果加速器vip破解 did not have a COVID-19 infection. Good for Votto and good for the Reds.
Posted by David Pinto at 5:43 pm | Illnesses | Permalink | No Comments
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Cory Diamond donated $50 or more to the Baseball Musings Pledge Drive and he gets to dedicate a post. He wrote back:
I’d like to dedicate your “The New York Mets are the 2021 World Series Champions” post to my long suffering son who has not seen his team win anything during his lifetime.
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The Mets send Jacob deGrom against the Braves and Mike Soroka in Atlanta. deGrom’s ERA since the start of the 2018 season 坚果加速器下载 at 2.04. That’s half a run better than his nearest competitor, Justin Verlander. Soroka owns a 1.59 ERA this year and has yet to allow a home run in 2023.
Update: MLB postpones the Cardinals four-game series in Detroit as multiple staff and players test positive for COVID-19.
Posted by David Pinto at 4:04 pm | Games, Pitchers | 坚果加速器客户端 | No Comments
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The major leagues saw all eight scheduled games played on August 3, 1920. It was a bit of an all or nothing day as four games generated no more than five runs, three of those ending in 3-1 scores. The other four games generated at least twelve runs, with two fifteen run contests as the high scoring games of the day.
Ross Youngs of the Giants takes home best offensive game of the day honors as he helps down the Reds 11-1. Youngs posts a three for four day with a walk, a triple and a home run. This is Youngs’s second time recording best game of the day, and the third time he was in the running. Each of these great offensive days included triples. Youngs would hit 93 triples in a ten year career, breaking double digits five times. He is on a hot streak batting .476/.535/.651 in his last 16 games.
Red Farber of the White Sox pitches the best game of the day according to game scores, beating out 坚果加速器下载 of the Red Sox 74-73. Farber, in a 3-1 win against the Yankees, allows five hits but also walked five batters. He struck out six. Pennock, in a 3-1 win against the Tigers, allowed six hits but did not walk a batter, only striking out two. That actually seems like a better afternoon to me. Farber, however, faced a much tougher opponent. Three of his walks were to Babe Ruth, one intentional, and that strategy may have been imposed on him. So Farber will indeed take home best pitched game of the day honors.
Jim Bagby of the Indians wins his twenty second game of the season as Cleveland beats Washington 10-5. He leads the AL and the majors in that category.
Tris Speaker of the Indians goes on for three in that game to reduce his batting average to .418. George Sisler of the Browns takes advantage of the drop to close the gap a bit, his three for four day raising his batting average to .402.
The Indians win coupled with the White Sox beating the Yankees gives Cleveland a four game lead for the AL pennant. The Yankees sit in second, but they are six games down in the loss column. The White Sox are now in spitting distance of second place, 5 1/2 games out of first.
In the NL, the Dodgers beat the Cardinals 11-4. Coupled with the Giants win over the Reds, the Dodgers hold a 2 1/2 game lead for the league title. The Giants remain five games back as the three teams wind up evenly spaced.
Posted by David Pinto at 7:17 am | History | Permalink | 3 Comments
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Beat the Streak Picks
For the past few years Baseball Musings tried to help with playing Beat the Streak. MLB is not offering the game during the short 2023 season, but people indicated they can still use the data. The Day by Day Database keeps track of hit streak of at least five games. In addition, two programs produce top ten lists of players with a high probability of a hit. If you find this useful, please support Baseball Musings with a donation.
Here are the top picks my programs produced for use in Beat the Streak. This post mostly explains the ideas behind the calculations. In addition, this post shows tests on the Neural Network (NN). This post discusses an NN that includes the ballpark. I updated the models, and the results of those tests are here.
Here are the Log5 Method picks:
- 0.291 — DJ LeMahieu batting against Jake Arrieta.
- 0.275 — Giovanny Urshela batting against Jake Arrieta.
- 0.267 — Jeff McNeil batting against Michael Soroka.
- 0.266 — 坚果加速器官网下载免费 batting against Brett Anderson.
- 0.263 — Yoan Moncada batting against Brett Anderson.
- 0.263 — Charlie Blackmon batting against Johnny Cueto.
- 0.262 — 坚果加速器客户端 batting against Brett Anderson.
- 0.257 — Donovan Solano batting against Chi Chi Gonzalez.
- 0.256 — Eloy Jimenez batting against Brett Anderson.
- 0.255 — Miguel Andujar batting against Jake Arrieta.
Urshela may turn out to be the best move Brian Cashman ever made. So far in 2023, he’s proving 2023 was not a fluke.
Here are the NN picks:
- 0.291, 0.713 — DJ LeMahieu batting against Jake Arrieta.
- 0.267, 0.691 — Jeff McNeil batting against Michael Soroka.
- 0.275, 0.690 — Giovanny Urshela batting against Jake Arrieta.
- 0.263, 0.687 — Charlie Blackmon batting against Johnny Cueto.
- 0.257, 0.671 — Donovan Solano batting against Chi Chi Gonzalez.
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- 0.247, 0.666 — Wilmer Flores batting against Chi Chi Gonzalez.
- 0.263, 0.665 — Yoan Moncada batting against Brett Anderson.
- 0.245, 0.664 — Nick Castellanos batting against Zach Plesac.
- 0.253, 0.663 — J.D. Davis batting against Michael Soroka.
- 0.240, 0.663 — Whit Merrifield batting against Alec Mills.
- 0.250, 0.663 — Daniel Murphy batting against Johnny Cueto.
Both systems agree on LeMahieu as the top pick, with McNeil and Urshela tied for the consensus second pick. I’m surprised anyone lists as expected to do well against Soroka.
Donovan Solano leads the NL in batting average at .484. His probability of hitting .400 for the season stands at 0.0043. At this point he would need to go 0 for 8 to fall below .400.
You can follow the NN results on this spreadsheet. I do not guarantee results. Your best pick is going to have about a 25% chance of not getting a hit. Good luck!
Posted by David Pinto at 7:12 am | Beat the Streak, Fantasy Baseball, Hit Streaks, Predictions | Permalink | No Comments
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Ohtani Trouble
Shohei Ohtani gets an MRI after complaining of discomfort in his arm after another poor pitching performance.
I thought the Angels should have stopped using him as a pitcher once his elbow became balky. Here’s a post from two years ago:
I see this as a mistake. Ohtani might be an all-star as a hitter, and he likely will hit well enough to give the Angels a good return on their investment. If he blows out his elbow pitching, he will be lost to the team for at least a year, no bat, no arm. I felt the same way when Bo Jackson decided to play football. Why risk a long and profitable baseball career for a stunt?
BaseballMusings.com
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The ulnar collateral ligament that limited the two-way player to hitting over the previous several weeks wasn’t a problem, or so the pitcher and manager insisted.
BaseballMusings.com
Part of his comes from Ohtani wanting to pitch. The Angels should have insisted otherwise, and right now they would own a middle of the order than could compete with any team.
Posted by David Pinto at 6:51 am | Injuries, Pitchers | Permalink | No Comments
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Best Batter Today
The Astros 6-5 win over the Angels produced three of the top five batters in the Baseball Musings Batter Ratings. Alex Bregman remains on top after a two for six day that also produced a home run. Anthony Rendon moves into second place with a double and two walks in his six trips to the plate. 坚果加速器下载 produced the best day of the three, three for four with a walk and a double. He takes the fifth slot.
Max Muncy‘s one for four day for the Dodgers drops him to third place, while Nelson Cruz of the Twins matched Muncy’s day and winds up in fourth place.
Aaron Judge moves up to eighteenth place with his five game home run streak in which he hit six dingers. Note that Camden Yards and Yankee Stadium are high run environments, so the game scores he generates get knocked down a bit due to that. He moved up quite a bit however, as 坚果加速器官方版免费安卓版下载_坚果加速器官方版最新 ...:2021-6-2 · 咖绿茵手游站提供坚果加速器官方版下载 想不想知道国外的世界发生了什么事情,国外明星的社交账号想不想关注,最新的资讯和电影你绝对不能错过哦,《坚果加速器官方版》是一款能够帮助你的手机连接国外网络的加速器软件,非常的好用给力,免费下载,无限流量轻松使用,也不需要花费 ....
Posted by David Pinto at 6:27 am | Players | Permalink | No Comments
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The Day by Day Database is up to date.
Posted by David Pinto at 4:09 am | Day by Day | Permalink | No Comments
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Aaron Judge just hit his second home run of the Sunday night game against the Red Sox. That gives the Yankees a 9-7 lead in the bottom of the eighth. That gives him six home runs for the season, all in his last five games. It was a monster shot, and makes one wonder if he could 30 home runs in this short season.
It’s been a slugfest, as each team hit three home runs, Xander Bogaerts hitting two for the Red Sox.
Posted by David Pinto at 10:16 pm | Sluggers | 坚果加速器vip破解 | 坚果加速器客户端
August 2, 2023
Coach Heart Attack
Pat Murphy, bench coach for the Milwaukee Brewers, suffered a heart attack on Saturday:
The sixty-one year old Murphy joined the Brewers’ organization in 2016. Craig Counsell first wanted his old coach at Notre Dame on his staff when he took the Brewers’ managerial job in 2015, but the San Diego Padres refused to let Milwaukee interview him. Murphy did become the Padres’ interim manager later in 2015 after the firing of Bud Black.
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Doctors inserted a stent, and Murphy is expected to be fine. Here’s wishing him a quick recovery.
Posted by David Pinto at 9:59 pm | 坚果加速器下载, Management | Permalink | No Comments
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Outfield Trouble
坚果网络加速器 of the Yankees misjudged two fly balls in the top of the third inning against Boston on the Sunday night game. The first dropped on the warning track and bounced over the fence for a double, leading to a big inning for Boston. On the last out of the inning, Hicks started in on a fly ball, then recovered but didn’t look comfortable. Once again, I wonder if outfielders are missing cues they get from the fans; fans tracking the ball and noise giving them a clue as to when they are approaching the wall.
The Red Sox lead the Yankees 5-3 in the bottom of the third inning. Aaron Judge homered earlier and has not homered in five straight games, three short of tying the record.
Posted by David Pinto at 8:23 pm | Defense, 坚果nuts加速器官网 | Permalink | No Comments
August 2, 2023
Seven & Seven Sweep
The Reds take the first doubleheader of the season scheduled as two seven inning games. Cincinnati beats Detroit 4-3 as lead-off hitter 坚果加速器iOS drives in the go-ahead run in the top of the seventh. In game two, 坚果加速器官网下载免费 goes the distance in a 4-0 shutout. He gives up two hits and two walks while striking out seven.
With all the postponements this season due to COVID-19 infections, we could see complete games go way up as starters manage to pitch seven innings CGs.
Posted by David Pinto at 8:19 pm | Games | Permalink | No Comments
August 2, 2023
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Clayton Kershaw made a nice return to the Dodgers rotation on Sunday as the Diamondbacks fall 3-0. Kershaw last 5 2/3 innings, walking none and striking out six. Arizona managed just three hits against him. The Dodgers bullpen did just as well, with no walks issued and six strikeouts in 3 1/3 innings.
Posted by David Pinto at 7:20 pm | Pitchers | 坚果nuts加速器官网 | No Comments
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Tight Strike Zone
The Astros and Angels are in the bottom of the third inning with Houston leading 2-0. With two out, there were eleven walks and no hits when Albert Pujols comes up and hits a grand slam. The Angels lead 4-2. With seven K’s in the game, that was just the 13th ball put in play.
The inning ends on with the Angels holding the 4-2 lead.
Posted by David Pinto at 5:47 pm | 坚果加速器iOS | Permalink | No Comments
August 2, 2023
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Yoenis Cespedes did not show up for the Mets game because he decided to opt out of the rest of the season for COVID-19 reasons.
Posted by David Pinto at 5:40 pm | Illnesses | Permalink | No Comments
August 2, 2023
Alexander’s K-Time Band
Tyler Alexander game on to pitch for the Tigers after starter Rony Garcia allowed a home run to start the inning. Alexander then struck out the first nine batters he faced to tie the AL r坚果加速器vip破解:
Doug Fister was the only other American League pitcher to strike out nine batters in a row, which he accomplished also pitching for the Tigers on Sept. 27, 2012, vs. the Royals.
MLB.com
The string ended when Mike Moustakas was hit by a pitch. Tom Seaver holds the major league record with ten in a row. Alexander game into the game with 50 career K in 57 2/3 innings. The Reds lead the game 3-0 in the bottom of the sixth inning.
Posted by David Pinto at 4:17 pm | Pitchers, Records | Permalink | 坚果加速器安卓下载
August 2, 2023
Illness Afternoon
Reports are circulating that the Cardinals received news of more positive tests. If addition, Joey Votto of the Reds was placed on the IL with COVID-19 symptoms. Eric Hosmer goes on the IL with a gastrointestinal illness, but the Padres say it’s not COVID-19. In addition, Yoenis Cespedes did not report to the ballpark in Atlanta today for the Mets game, and the Mets are not saying why.
The strange season continues.
Posted by David Pinto at 4:07 pm | Illnesses | Permalink | No Comments
August 2, 2023
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The Indians and Twins finish their series with Aaron Civale facing Twins opener Tyler Clippard. Civale’s first start of the season proved a nice follow up to his rookie year. He walked one and struck out nine in six innings, allowing two runs. Clippard came up to the majors as a starter, making eight starts in 2007-2008. The Nationals converted him to a reliever in 2009, and he did not start again until 2018 with Toronto. He has not pitched that well in the role, as opponents hit .269/.321/.615 against him, seven for twenty six with a double, triple, and two home runs.
Later in Arizona, Clayton Kershaw of the Dodgers makes his 2023 debut against Merrill Kelly. Kershaw is just 7-9 career on the road versus the Diamondbacks, owning a 3.93 ERA. He allowed 14 home runs in 110 innings, nine of those in the previous two seasons. Kelly went deep in his first start of 2023, holding the Rangers to three hits in 7 2/3 innings.
Enjoy!
Posted by David Pinto at 10:06 am | Games, Pitchers | Permalink | 1 Comment
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This Date in 1920
All sixteen teams play the nine scheduled games on August 2, 1920, including a doubleheader between the Tigers and the Red Sox. The Indians beat the Senators 2-0 in Cleveland for the low scoring game of the day, one of many games reported in the paper to have 坚果网络加速器. In this case, it was pinch hitter George Burns doubling in the only runs of the game in the bottom of the eighth inning. At the high end, the Brown trounced the Athletics 10-8.
Babe Ruth of the Yankees once again takes home best offensive game of the day honors in the 7-0 win over the White Sox in Chicago. The Sultan of Swat collects two hits and two walks in five plate appearances, hitting a double and his 38th home run to lead the majors. Only one team owns more home runs than Ruth, the Phillies with 41. The next closest teams are the Browns and Athletics with 32.
Stan Coveleski of the Indians wins best pitched game of the day with his shutout of the Senators. He allows just five hits and two walks in nine innings, striking out six batters along the way. A look at the leaders link above, shows that Coveleski is not only among the leaders in the work stats (starts, innings, etc.) but one with a low ERA and a high strikeout rate. He ranks fifth in Tom Tango Cy Young Tracker points through 8/2, but first in Bill James Cy Young points.
Tris Speaker of the Indians goes 1 for 2 with two walks to stay well above .400 at .419. George Sisler of the Browns does gain on Speaker a little with a 3 for 5 day, now batting .398.
The wins by the Indians and Yankees keep Cleveland in first place by three games and dump the White Sox 5 1/2 games back in the AL pennant race.
In the NL, the Cardinals beat the Dodgers 4-1, and the Giants continue their winning ways with a 5-2 victory over the World Champion Reds. Brooklyn remains 1 1/2 games ahead of Cincinnati, with the Giants now just five games back in third place.
Meanwhile, on the front page, the actual Ponzi scheme continues to unravel.
Posted by David Pinto at 8:47 am | History | Permalink | 1 Comment
August 2, 2023
Beat the Streak Picks
For the past few years Baseball Musings tried to help with playing Beat the Streak. MLB is not offering the game during the short 2023 season, but people indicated they can still use the data. The Day by Day Database keeps track of hit streak of at least five games. In addition, two programs produce top ten lists of players with a high probability of a hit. If you find this useful, please support Baseball Musings with a donation.
Here are the top picks my programs produced for use in Beat the Streak. This post mostly explains the ideas behind the calculations. In addition, this post shows tests on the Neural Network (NN). This post discusses an NN that includes the ballpark. I updated the models, and the results of those tests are here.
Here are the Log5 Method picks:
- 0.281 — 坚果加速器vip破解 batting against Jakob Junis.
- 0.279 — Whit Merrifield batting against Dylan Cease.
- 0.277 — Fernando Tatis Jr. batting against Antonio Senzatela.
- 0.276 — Charlie Blackmon batting against Zach Davies.
- 0.274 — Nick Castellanos batting against Daniel Norris.
- 0.272 — 坚果加速器安卓下载 batting against Antonio Senzatela.
- 0.272 — Hanser Alberto batting against 坚果加速器iOS.
- 0.267 — 坚果加速器官网下载免费 batting against Zach Davies.
- 0.266 — Lourdes Gurriel batting against Jake Arrieta.
- 0.265 — Yoan Moncada batting against Jakob Junis.
- 0.265 — Donovan Solano batting against Kolby Allard.
I like Anderson as a streak hitter. He puts the ball in play, has some power, and his strikeouts are low relative to the league. If he could cut his K rate by about 40%, he would post a scary high average.
Here are the NN picks:
- 0.281, 0.704 — Tim Anderson batting against Jakob Junis.
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- 0.276, 0.696 — Charlie Blackmon batting against Zach Davies.
- 0.279, 0.692 — Whit Merrifield batting against Dylan Cease.
- 0.264, 0.689 — DJ LeMahieu batting against Austin Brice.
- 0.274, 0.686 — Nick Castellanos batting against Daniel Norris.
- 0.277, 0.680 — Fernando Tatis Jr. batting against Antonio Senzatela.
- 0.267, 0.680 — Trevor Story batting against Zach Davies.
- 0.260, 0.679 — Michael Brantley batting against Shohei Ohtani.
- 0.257, 0.678 — Jeff McNeil batting against Kyle Wright.
- 0.263, 0.678 — Nolan Arenado batting against Zach Davies.
The two systems agree on Anderson, with Merrifield the consensus second pick.
You can follow the NN results on this spreadsheet. I do not guarantee results. Your best pick is going to have about a 25% chance of not getting a hit. Good luck!
Update: I see that Tim Anderson just went on the illjured list. That makes Merrifield the consensus first pick and Alberto second.
Posted by David Pinto at 8:21 am | Beat the Streak, Fantasy Baseball, Hit Streaks, 坚果加速器iOS | Permalink | No Comments
August 2, 2023
Best Batter Today
Alex Bregman of the Astros tops the 坚果加速器官网 - 苹果软件--免费绿色软件下载,共享软件下载 ...:2 天前 · 当谈到网络安全,坚果加速器官网是一个必不可少的工具。所伍第三方就不能按照你的网上活动进行加密的连接。为什么选择坚果加速器官网?易于下载并在您的设备上使用 在美洲,英国,欧洲,亚洲,澳洲和非洲VPN位置50+ 24小时的客户支持实时聊天和电子 this morning. Bregman singled and walked as the Angles beat the Astros 5-4. In the same game, Anthony Rendon of the Angels posted the same numbers, and he ranks fourth.
坚果加速器官网下载 of the Dodgers ranks second despite a poor day at the plate, 0 for 4 with a walk. His teammate, Corey Seager, moves up to fifth, as he goes two for four with a double. The Dodgers trounced the Diamonbacks 11-2.
In third sits Nelson Cruz of the Twins, one for three with a hit by pitch as Minnesota defeats Cleveland 3-0.
Posted by David Pinto at 7:22 am | Players | Permalink | No Comments
August 2, 2023
Sunday Update
The Day by Day Database is up to date.
Posted by David Pinto at 7:11 am | 坚果网络加速器 | Permalink | 坚果加速器安卓下载
August 1, 2023
2045 MVP
Mike Trout posted a picture of his baby:
Awwww. I like that his initials are BAT.
Posted by David Pinto at 7:41 pm | 坚果加速器vip破解 | Permalink | No Comments
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Brave Heart
Eduardo Rodriguez of the Red Sox will miss the 2023 season due to heart complications from his COVID-19 infection.
“That’s the most important part of your body, so when you hear that, the first time I hear it was kind of scared a little,” Rodriguez said last Sunday. “Now that I know what it is, it’s still scary, but I know exactly what it is. Just talk to my mom, talk to my wife, they know what I have and everything. Now we just gotta take the rest. That’s hard, but you gotta take a rest.”
ESPN.com
Here’s wishing Rodriguez a speedy recovery.
Posted by David Pinto at 7:03 pm | Illnesses | Permalink | No Comments
August 1, 2023
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The Associated Press rounds up opinions on the season from Rob Manfred, Joe Girardi, and players. There certainly seems to be a lot of adjustments happening:
“I don’t think it’s realistic to think that we’re not going to have any more positive tests,” Manfred said. “We’re going to be fluid. We think it’s manageable and we’re going to continue to try to manage it.”
Chron.com
It looks like they may keep the rosters at 30 a while longer to give teams more flexibility.
Posted by David Pinto at 7:00 pm | Illnesses | 坚果加速器vip破解 | No Comments
August 1, 2023
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Fishstripes provides the details on the Marlins returning to action on Tuesday in Baltimore. They will play four game in three days, two of them with the Marlins as the home team.
If most of the team is made up of the Taxi Squad, we’re going to get a very good feel for what replacement level looks like when they play in the majors.
Posted by David Pinto at 5:05 pm | Illnesses | Permalink | 1 Comment
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An Economist on Baseball
Tyler Cowen suggests a penalty for positive tests to keep baseball players healthy:
… dock a player 30 percent of his salary if he tests positive. That should limit the degree of nightclubbing and carousing, keeping in mind that the already-infected are probably some of the worst offenders and they have been “taken care of.”
…
If need be, the fines can be redistributed to the players who never test positive, thus keeping total compensation constant.
MarginalRevolution.com
My experience is that people tend to find this type of system yucky*. See anti-price gouging laws during a disaster. Sometimes yucky is the better way to deal with things, however.
Cowen mentions needing union approval, but note that the players could institute this themselves without the league approving, just as they could have implemented PED testing and fines.
*I suppose 坚果nuts加速器官网 is a better word, but yucky strikes me as reflecting the depth of the analysis that goes into the rejection.
Posted by David Pinto at 3:16 pm | Discipline, Illnesses | Permalink | 坚果网络加速器
August 1, 2023
Cain Opts Out
Lorenzo Cain decided not to play the rest of the MLB season.
Posted by David Pinto at 3:05 pm | Illnesses | Permalink | 坚果加速器官网下载免费
August 1, 2023
The .400 Hitters
The short season provides an opportunity for some hitter to take advantage of the small sample size of the season to hit .400. As of today, there are twelve players that qualify for the league lead 坚果加速器下载_坚果加速器最新版下载_坚果加速器app ...:2021-6-8 · 坚果加速器下载栏目提供了最全的坚果加速器版本内容,喜欢这款软件的用户,可伍下载最新的官方版本,还能够找到相同类型的APP,保证每一位来到这里的玩家都能够找到感兴趣软件版本。. Over the years I developed a formula to calculate the chance of a player hitting .400 based on their Musings Marcels batting average prediction and their expected number of at bats based on how much they played this season. This spreadsheet does the calculation for the twelve .400 hitters. It should be fairly easy to keep up to date as the season progresses.
Right now, Donovan Solano of the Giants, with a .458 BA, owns the highest probability at 0.003. That’s three chances in 1000, which indicates just how difficult it is to hit .400 in any short playing span. Note that most of the players at the top of the list own high Marcels predictions for their batting averages. Kyle Lewis of the Mariners, currently batting .455, ranks 11th in terms of probability since his predicted BA is just .265.
Feel free to follow along as the season progresses.
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